Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Chipchura 48.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 61.4%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 72.7%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 66.9%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Shaw
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Shaw
Chipchura
Last 5: Shaw 4-1 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Chipchura
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Chipchura
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
48.6% (255)
-4.2%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
50.0% (4)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
0.0% (2)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Shaw is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Shaw shoots right. Chipchura is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Shaw
Chipchura
Home
45.5% (224)
49.1% (163)
Away
42.5% (233)
46.9% (98)
By Period
Shaw
Chipchura
P1
39.1%
48.2%
P2
41.7%
52.2%
P3
50.3%
42.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |