Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.3% vs Hendricks 54.4% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 73.1%
Defensive zone
Shaw 68.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 70.7%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Shaw
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Shaw
Hendricks
Last 8: Shaw 2-6 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
3
Shaw
Hendricks
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
2
Shaw
Hendricks
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Hendricks
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (291)
59.6% (329)
-13.6%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
46.7% (15)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
44.0% (109)
+31.0%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Shaw is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Shaw shoots right. Hendricks is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Shaw
Hendricks
Home
49.4% (160)
52.4% (233)
Away
43.5% (154)
58.6% (220)
By Period
Shaw
Hendricks
P1
46.2%
55.1%
P2
45.9%
55.2%
P3
47.3%
55.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.5%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 18, 2015 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 18, 2015 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 18, 2015 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |