Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Richards 50.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 81.2%
Defensive zone
Shaw 56.6%
Neutral zone
Shaw 70.2%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Shaw
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Shaw
Richards
Last 10: Shaw 3-7 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
3
Shaw
Richards
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
3
Shaw
Richards
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
4
Shaw
Richards
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
50.0% (3,722)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
54.6% (445)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
51.4% (502)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Home / Away
Shaw
Richards
Home
50.3% (1,812)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Shaw
Richards
P1
48.5%
49.6%
P2
47.9%
52.3%
P3
48.2%
49.3%
OT
41.9%
58.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 05:10 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 08:44 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Mike Richards |