Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.9%). Look for Shaw on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 59.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 81.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Shaw
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Shaw
Bjugstad
Last 10: Shaw 8-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
5
2
Shaw
Bjugstad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
4
1
Shaw
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
48.6% (6,634)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
55.2% (829)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
44.3% (614)
-2.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Home / Away
Shaw
Bjugstad
Home
50.3% (1,812)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Shaw
Bjugstad
P1
48.5%
49.0%
P2
47.9%
49.1%
P3
48.2%
48.4%
OT
41.9%
61.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 2 | 08:57 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 24, 2015 | OT | 02:30 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |