Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.7% vs Bjugstad 48.1% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 87.1%
Defensive zone
Shaw 85.1%
Neutral zone
Shaw 85.7%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Shaw
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Shaw
Bjugstad
Last 8: Shaw 7-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
1
Shaw
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
0
Shaw
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (336)
46.2% (340)
+10.1%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
58.0% (50)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
0.0% (1)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Shaw is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Shaw shoots right. Bjugstad is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Shaw
Bjugstad
Home
58.1% (234)
49.4% (237)
Away
50.5% (204)
44.8% (154)
By Period
Shaw
Bjugstad
P1
53.8%
46.4%
P2
58.3%
50.4%
P3
52.0%
45.6%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 2 | 08:57 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |