Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.7%). Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Berglund 48.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 24-22 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 68.8%
Defensive zone
Berglund 64.7%
Neutral zone
Berglund 51.2%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Shaw
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
24
(46 meetings)
22
24
Shaw
Berglund
Last 10: Shaw 7-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
12
9
Shaw
Berglund
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
3
6
Shaw
Berglund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
7
9
Shaw
Berglund
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
49.0% (4,697)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
51.3% (548)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
43.2% (461)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Berglund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,046).
Home / Away
Shaw
Berglund
Home
50.3% (1,812)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
Shaw
Berglund
P1
48.5%
49.3%
P2
47.9%
48.2%
P3
48.2%
49.0%
OT
41.9%
39.7%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 11:25 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 12:15 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 06:13 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |