Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Shaw wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Berglund 46.8% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 69.8%
Defensive zone
Shaw 52.7%
Neutral zone
Shaw 59.6%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Shaw
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Shaw
Berglund
Last 10: Shaw 4-6 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
5
4
Shaw
Berglund
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
4
Shaw
Berglund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
3
5
Shaw
Berglund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
46.3% (490)
-1.9%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
52.4% (63)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
38.0% (50)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Shaw is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Shaw shoots right. Berglund is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Shaw
Berglund
Home
45.5% (224)
49.8% (295)
Away
42.5% (233)
42.9% (308)
By Period
Shaw
Berglund
P1
39.1%
47.5%
P2
41.7%
46.4%
P3
50.3%
45.7%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 02:32 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 09:16 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |