Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (95% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 28-11 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 96.6%
Defensive zone
Shaw 75.5%
Neutral zone
Shaw 91.8%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Shaw
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
28
(39 meetings)
11
28
Shaw
Gaustad
Last 10: Shaw 4-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
6
1
Shaw
Gaustad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
19
Shaw
Gaustad
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
8
Shaw
Gaustad
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
58.2% (4,334)
-10.3%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
65.4% (188)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
54.8% (1,290)
-12.7%
On power play, Gaustad has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Shaw
Gaustad
Home
50.3% (1,812)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Shaw
Gaustad
P1
48.5%
58.2%
P2
47.9%
56.4%
P3
48.2%
58.3%
OT
41.9%
66.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 14:53 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2014 | OT | 03:10 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |