Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.0% vs 43.8%). Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Shaw wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Holland 45.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Holland leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 61.8%
Defensive zone
Holland 65.8%
Neutral zone
Shaw 52.1%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Shaw
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Shaw
Holland
Last 10: Shaw 4-6 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Holland
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
1
2
Shaw
Holland
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
1
4
Shaw
Holland
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
43.4% (196)
+1.0%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
57.1% (7)
-16.2%
On power play, Holland has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Shaw is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Shaw shoots right. Holland is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Shaw
Holland
Home
45.5% (224)
49.2% (130)
Away
42.5% (233)
34.2% (73)
By Period
Shaw
Holland
P1
39.1%
48.1%
P2
41.7%
39.3%
P3
50.3%
42.6%
Final 5 min
43.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2013 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Peter Holland |