Scouting Report
Peter Holland holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 44.1% vs Holland 46.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 61.3%
Defensive zone
Holland 72.5%
Neutral zone
Holland 55.0%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Shaw
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Shaw
Holland
Last 7: Shaw 5-2 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Holland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Holland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Holland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (636)
46.0% (374)
-2.1%
Power Play
32.4% (37)
55.6% (18)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
0.0% (3)
+45.5%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Shaw is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Shaw shoots right. Holland is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Shaw
Holland
Home
46.3% (363)
46.7% (225)
Away
39.9% (321)
45.3% (170)
By Period
Shaw
Holland
P1
47.4%
48.2%
P2
43.0%
47.1%
P3
40.0%
41.9%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 14:36 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Peter Holland |