Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 50.1% vs Rakell 47.1% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 82.8%
Defensive zone
Shaw 62.1%
Neutral zone
Shaw 71.9%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Shaw
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Shaw
Rakell
Last 5: Shaw 4-1 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
1
Shaw
Rakell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Rakell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (685)
46.2% (608)
+4.0%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
51.9% (54)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
33.3% (3)
+26.7%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Shaw is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Shaw shoots right. Rakell is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Shaw
Rakell
Home
51.0% (361)
49.3% (335)
Away
49.3% (351)
43.9% (330)
By Period
Shaw
Rakell
P1
48.8%
46.8%
P2
49.5%
45.0%
P3
52.1%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 10:51 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |