Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Johansen 53.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 60.5%
Defensive zone
Shaw 53.9%
Neutral zone
Shaw 57.5%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Shaw
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
13
(25 meetings)
12
13
Shaw
Johansen
Last 10: Shaw 2-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
6
Shaw
Johansen
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
7
0
Shaw
Johansen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
7
Shaw
Johansen
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
53.1% (11,017)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
56.2% (2,163)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
50.5% (978)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Shaw
Johansen
Home
50.3% (1,812)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Shaw
Johansen
P1
48.5%
53.2%
P2
47.9%
53.9%
P3
48.2%
52.8%
OT
41.9%
58.2%
Final 5 min
46.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 15:08 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |