Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.3% vs Kesler 58.0% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 59.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 62.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 50.9%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Shaw
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Shaw
Kesler
Last 5: Shaw 2-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Shaw
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Shaw
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (291)
58.6% (1,138)
-12.6%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
64.5% (186)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
55.0% (351)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Shaw is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Shaw shoots right. Kesler is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Shaw
Kesler
Home
49.4% (160)
61.0% (859)
Away
43.5% (154)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Shaw
Kesler
P1
46.2%
59.1%
P2
45.9%
56.5%
P3
47.3%
60.5%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.7%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |