Andrew Shaw vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.4% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 57.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.4%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Shaw
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Shaw
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Shaw 3-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Shaw
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
39.8% (508)
+4.6%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
60.5% (38)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
20.0% (5)
+0.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Shaw is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Shaw shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Shaw
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.5% (224)
42.6% (237)
Away
42.5% (233)
39.8% (314)
By Period
Shaw
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
39.1%
33.3%
P2
41.7%
45.1%
P3
50.3%
44.6%
OT
0.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
43.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |