Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Gagner 46.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 59.3%
Defensive zone
Gagner 60.1%
Neutral zone
Gagner 58.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Shaw
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Shaw
Gagner
Last 10: Shaw 4-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
3
4
Shaw
Gagner
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
3
Shaw
Gagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Shaw
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
45.4% (4,699)
+2.5%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
51.5% (928)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
35.0% (226)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Shaw
Gagner
Home
50.3% (1,812)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Shaw
Gagner
P1
48.5%
44.6%
P2
47.9%
46.1%
P3
48.2%
47.3%
OT
41.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |