Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Pahlsson 52.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 95.3%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 75.3%
Neutral zone
Shaw 67.9%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Shaw
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Shaw
Pahlsson
Last 8: Shaw 2-6 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
1
Shaw
Pahlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
4
Shaw
Pahlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Pahlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
53.0% (1,716)
-5.1%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
60.0% (35)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
49.8% (548)
-7.7%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Pahlsson is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Shaw
Pahlsson
Home
50.3% (1,812)
54.4% (1,136)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
50.3% (1,188)
By Period
Shaw
Pahlsson
P1
48.5%
54.6%
P2
47.9%
50.7%
P3
48.2%
51.8%
OT
41.9%
44.8%
Final 5 min
46.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |