Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.3% vs Kuraly 46.9% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 83.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 84.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Shaw
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Shaw
Kuraly
Last 6: Shaw 3-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Shaw
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (217)
46.0% (661)
+5.6%
Power Play
61.9% (105)
77.8% (9)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
47.1% (51)
-47.1%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Shaw is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Shaw shoots right. Kuraly is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Home / Away
Shaw
Kuraly
Home
55.2% (163)
47.2% (335)
Away
53.4% (163)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Shaw
Kuraly
P1
56.7%
47.1%
P2
50.9%
44.6%
P3
55.6%
48.1%
Final 5 min
52.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |