Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.9%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 50.1% vs Crosby 49.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 52.9%
Defensive zone
Shaw 65.2%
Neutral zone
Shaw 61.4%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Shaw
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Shaw
Crosby
Last 6: Shaw 1-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Shaw
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Shaw
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (685)
49.4% (1,194)
+0.8%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
52.6% (350)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
43.4% (53)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Shaw is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Shaw shoots right. Crosby is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Shaw
Crosby
Home
51.0% (361)
51.3% (776)
Away
49.3% (351)
48.6% (821)
By Period
Shaw
Crosby
P1
48.8%
50.5%
P2
49.5%
51.3%
P3
52.1%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2015 | OT | 02:20 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |