Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 53.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 68.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 56.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Shaw
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Shaw
Stamkos
Last 10: Shaw 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Shaw
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Shaw
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
50.4% (9,711)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
55.1% (1,709)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
49.7% (819)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Stamkos is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,564).
Home / Away
Shaw
Stamkos
Home
50.3% (1,812)
52.7% (6,198)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
49.2% (6,067)
By Period
Shaw
Stamkos
P1
48.5%
49.1%
P2
47.9%
52.8%
P3
48.2%
50.8%
OT
41.9%
54.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 09:23 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 11, 2014 | OT | 03:48 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 24, 2013 | OT | 00:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |