Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.7% vs Stamkos 52.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 63.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 84.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 64.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Shaw
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Shaw
Stamkos
Last 6: Shaw 4-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Shaw
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (299)
52.9% (735)
-7.1%
Power Play
54.5% (66)
53.4% (73)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
53.8% (145)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Shaw is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Shaw shoots right. Stamkos is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Shaw
Stamkos
Home
50.0% (152)
54.1% (481)
Away
45.3% (232)
52.1% (472)
By Period
Shaw
Stamkos
P1
44.8%
50.2%
P2
46.0%
53.4%
P3
50.4%
55.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |