Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.3% vs Zajac 50.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 89.3%
Defensive zone
Zajac 78.4%
Neutral zone
Shaw 56.2%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Shaw
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Shaw
Zajac
Last 8: Shaw 6-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
4
0
Shaw
Zajac
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Shaw
Zajac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (217)
50.8% (775)
+0.8%
Power Play
61.9% (105)
61.5% (117)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
45.0% (202)
-45.0%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Shaw is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Shaw shoots right. Zajac is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Shaw
Zajac
Home
55.2% (163)
52.2% (536)
Away
53.4% (163)
49.6% (558)
By Period
Shaw
Zajac
P1
56.7%
53.6%
P2
50.9%
50.9%
P3
55.6%
48.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.3%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |