Scouting Report
Trevor Lewis holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 44.1% vs Lewis 48.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 67.9%
Defensive zone
Lewis 59.5%
Neutral zone
Lewis 51.4%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Shaw
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Shaw
Lewis
Last 6: Shaw 3-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
2
Shaw
Lewis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (636)
48.5% (231)
-4.6%
Power Play
32.4% (37)
25.0% (8)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
56.5% (23)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Lewis has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Shaw is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (215).
Shaw shoots right. Lewis is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Shaw
Lewis
Home
46.3% (363)
47.5% (118)
Away
39.9% (321)
49.3% (144)
By Period
Shaw
Lewis
P1
47.4%
44.4%
P2
43.0%
46.2%
P3
40.0%
55.3%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:40 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |