Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.2%). Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Gourde 48.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 73.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 67.6%
Neutral zone
Shaw 55.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Shaw
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Shaw
Gourde
Last 10: Shaw 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
5
Shaw
Gourde
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Shaw
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
48.4% (4,954)
-0.5%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
57.4% (376)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
39.9% (554)
+2.2%
On power play, Gourde has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Shaw
Gourde
Home
50.3% (1,812)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Shaw
Gourde
P1
48.5%
49.9%
P2
47.9%
47.4%
P3
48.2%
47.5%
OT
41.9%
37.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 7, 2017 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2017 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 7, 2017 | 2 | 16:37 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |