Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.7% vs Girgensons 47.6% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 89.0%
Defensive zone
Shaw 63.2%
Neutral zone
Shaw 73.7%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Shaw
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Shaw
Girgensons
Last 6: Shaw 6-0 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
0
Shaw
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (336)
47.7% (560)
+8.6%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
28.6% (7)
+22.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
33.3% (12)
-16.6%
On power play, Shaw has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Shaw is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Shaw shoots right. Girgensons is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Shaw
Girgensons
Home
58.1% (234)
51.1% (266)
Away
50.5% (204)
43.8% (313)
By Period
Shaw
Girgensons
P1
53.8%
48.5%
P2
58.3%
46.8%
P3
52.0%
46.2%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.6%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2017 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |