Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Andreoff wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Andreoff 51.4% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Andreoff 86.1%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 77.1%
Neutral zone
Andreoff 53.2%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Andreoff
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Andreoff
Gaustad
Last 5: Andreoff 2-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Andreoff
2
0
Andreoff
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Andreoff
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Andreoff
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (497)
58.2% (4,334)
-6.1%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
65.4% (188)
-32.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
54.8% (1,290)
-29.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Andreoff is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Andreoff shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Andreoff
Gaustad
Home
54.8% (217)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
49.3% (290)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Andreoff
Gaustad
P1
51.1%
58.2%
P2
53.5%
56.4%
P3
50.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Andreoff
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Andy Andreoff |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Andy Andreoff |