Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Andreoff 50.0% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Andreoff 89.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 85.5%
Neutral zone
Andreoff 52.9%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Andreoff
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Andreoff
Gaustad
Last 5: Andreoff 2-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Andreoff
2
0
Andreoff
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Andreoff
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Andreoff
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (262)
56.2% (603)
-5.8%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
71.4% (21)
-46.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
49.3% (148)
+0.7%
On power play, Gaustad has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Andreoff is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Andreoff shoots left. Gaustad is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Andreoff
Gaustad
Home
50.5% (107)
55.5% (366)
Away
49.7% (161)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Andreoff
Gaustad
P1
51.4%
55.0%
P2
51.6%
56.9%
P3
45.7%
53.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Andreoff
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Andy Andreoff |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Andy Andreoff |