Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McDonald wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gordon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Gordon 56.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Gordon leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McDonald 88.0%
Defensive zone
Gordon 63.7%
Neutral zone
McDonald 58.9%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
McDonald
Gordon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
McDonald
Gordon
Last 10: McDonald 3-7 Gordon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
4
1
McDonald
Gordon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
5
McDonald
Gordon
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
2
McDonald
Gordon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Gordon
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
58.4% (4,533)
-2.9%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
59.0% (244)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
52.5% (1,586)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gordon shoots right. McDonald is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (227).
McDonald shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (4,373).
Home / Away
McDonald
Gordon
Home
54.9% (297)
58.3% (3,125)
Away
56.0% (366)
55.6% (3,265)
By Period
McDonald
Gordon
P1
58.5%
57.5%
P2
52.5%
56.8%
P3
54.1%
57.0%
OT
73.7%
40.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2012 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 6, 2012 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 6, 2012 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 6, 2012 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |