Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McDonald wins 61.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gordon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 57.2% vs Gordon 57.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
McDonald leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McDonald 82.7%
Defensive zone
Gordon 79.4%
Neutral zone
Gordon 53.8%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
McDonald
Gordon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
McDonald
Gordon
Last 10: McDonald 6-4 Gordon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
4
0
McDonald
Gordon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
2
McDonald
Gordon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
2
McDonald
Gordon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Gordon
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (246)
58.4% (514)
+0.5%
Power Play
62.7% (75)
45.5% (11)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
57.5% (179)
-9.7%
On power play, McDonald has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gordon shoots right. McDonald is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (107).
McDonald shoots left. Gordon is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
McDonald
Gordon
Home
63.5% (148)
57.7% (366)
Away
56.2% (201)
58.4% (353)
By Period
McDonald
Gordon
P1
64.2%
59.3%
P2
53.8%
54.5%
P3
59.8%
60.5%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
59.3%
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |