Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McDonald wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — MacKenzie shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 57.2% vs MacKenzie 51.7% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 79.4%
Defensive zone
McDonald 63.4%
Neutral zone
McDonald 66.1%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
McDonald
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McDonald
MacKenzie
Last 8: McDonald 5-3 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
2
1
McDonald
MacKenzie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
3
1
McDonald
MacKenzie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
1
McDonald
MacKenzie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (246)
51.8% (384)
+7.1%
Power Play
62.7% (75)
50.0% (24)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
52.5% (61)
-4.7%
On power play, McDonald has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. McDonald is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (242).
McDonald shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
McDonald
MacKenzie
Home
63.5% (148)
51.7% (232)
Away
56.2% (201)
52.3% (241)
By Period
McDonald
MacKenzie
P1
64.2%
47.9%
P2
53.8%
51.8%
P3
59.8%
55.4%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
59.3%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 03:26 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 01:48 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |