Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.5% vs 55.1%). Look for McDonald on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDonald wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Stoll 55.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 71.7%
Defensive zone
Stoll 82.1%
Neutral zone
Stoll 58.7%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
McDonald
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McDonald
Stoll
Last 6: McDonald 4-2 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
1
0
McDonald
Stoll
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDonald
Stoll
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDonald
2
1
McDonald
Stoll
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
56.0% (4,886)
-0.5%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
56.5% (496)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
50.7% (1,087)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. McDonald is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (227).
McDonald shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Home / Away
McDonald
Stoll
Home
54.9% (297)
57.2% (3,285)
Away
56.0% (366)
53.0% (3,218)
By Period
McDonald
Stoll
P1
58.5%
54.2%
P2
52.5%
55.8%
P3
54.1%
55.3%
OT
73.7%
52.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |