Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDonald wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Carter 53.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 61.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 76.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
McDonald
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McDonald
Carter
Last 7: McDonald 3-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
McDonald
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDonald
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
53.3% (8,728)
+2.2%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
57.3% (1,554)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
46.3% (1,087)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. McDonald is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (227).
McDonald shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
McDonald
Carter
Home
54.9% (297)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
56.0% (366)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
McDonald
Carter
P1
58.5%
53.6%
P2
52.5%
52.8%
P3
54.1%
53.1%
OT
73.7%
56.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |