Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Madden on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Madden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Madden 50.6% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 58.4%
Defensive zone
Madden 88.1%
Neutral zone
Madden 67.8%
Result
John Madden favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
McDonald
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McDonald
Madden
Last 8: McDonald 2-6 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Madden
2
3
McDonald
Madden
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
0
3
McDonald
Madden
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
51.2% (1,083)
+4.3%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
51.5% (33)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
47.6% (164)
+0.1%
On power play, McDonald has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Madden is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
McDonald
Madden
Home
54.9% (297)
52.7% (678)
Away
56.0% (366)
48.5% (623)
By Period
McDonald
Madden
P1
58.5%
51.5%
P2
52.5%
52.5%
P3
54.1%
47.6%
OT
73.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | John Madden |