Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Madden on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McDonald wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Madden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 57.2% vs Madden 50.9% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Madden 59.7%
Defensive zone
Madden 91.5%
Neutral zone
Madden 69.7%
Result
John Madden favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
McDonald
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McDonald
Madden
Last 8: McDonald 2-6 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Madden
2
3
McDonald
Madden
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
0
3
McDonald
Madden
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (246)
51.8% (815)
+7.1%
Power Play
62.7% (75)
60.7% (28)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
45.0% (129)
+2.8%
On even strength, McDonald has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. McDonald is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (242).
McDonald shoots left. Madden is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
McDonald
Madden
Home
63.5% (148)
52.8% (527)
Away
56.2% (201)
49.0% (461)
By Period
McDonald
Madden
P1
64.2%
50.5%
P2
53.8%
52.0%
P3
59.8%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
59.3%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | John Madden |