Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). McDonald wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Brodziak 49.7% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
McDonald leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
McDonald 89.8%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 73.7%
Neutral zone
McDonald 70.2%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
McDonald
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
McDonald
Brodziak
Last 10: McDonald 6-4 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
9
1
McDonald
Brodziak
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
4
McDonald
Brodziak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
3
McDonald
Brodziak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
50.5% (6,432)
+5.0%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
52.8% (326)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
45.5% (1,344)
+2.2%
On even strength, McDonald has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. McDonald is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (227).
McDonald shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Home / Away
McDonald
Brodziak
Home
54.9% (297)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
56.0% (366)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
McDonald
Brodziak
P1
58.5%
49.2%
P2
52.5%
50.7%
P3
54.1%
49.5%
OT
73.7%
42.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 05:45 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 29, 2011 | OT | 04:50 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |