Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Duchene 54.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
McDonald leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McDonald 61.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 64.4%
Neutral zone
McDonald 53.6%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
McDonald
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
McDonald
Duchene
Last 10: McDonald 7-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
7
2
McDonald
Duchene
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
McDonald
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
53.9% (10,396)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
56.9% (1,665)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
49.1% (468)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
McDonald
Duchene
Home
54.9% (297)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
56.0% (366)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
McDonald
Duchene
P1
58.5%
54.5%
P2
52.5%
54.5%
P3
54.1%
53.4%
OT
73.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 07:42 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |