Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Frost 50.3% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
Frost 52.6%
Defensive zone
Frost 57.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 55.7%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
McDonald
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
49.4% (3,583)
+6.1%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
55.5% (625)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
52.8% (36)
-5.1%
On even strength, McDonald has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,767).
Home / Away
McDonald
Frost
Home
54.9% (297)
50.9% (2,032)
Away
56.0% (366)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
McDonald
Frost
P1
58.5%
50.8%
P2
52.5%
51.1%
P3
54.1%
48.5%
OT
73.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Frost
66.0%▲
60.0%
50.3%