Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McDonald wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 57.2% vs Koivu 52.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 88.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 62.7%
Neutral zone
McDonald 74.4%
Result
Andy McDonald favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
McDonald
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McDonald
Koivu
Last 7: McDonald 5-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
4
0
McDonald
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
McDonald
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDonald
1
0
McDonald
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (246)
52.7% (873)
+6.2%
Power Play
62.7% (75)
63.1% (168)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
47.9% (267)
-0.1%
On even strength, McDonald has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. McDonald is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (242).
McDonald shoots left. Koivu is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (960).
Home / Away
McDonald
Koivu
Home
63.5% (148)
56.7% (601)
Away
56.2% (201)
49.6% (738)
By Period
McDonald
Koivu
P1
64.2%
51.2%
P2
53.8%
55.2%
P3
59.8%
51.3%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
59.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2011 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 1 | 03:10 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |