Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDonald wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 57.2% vs Pahlsson 51.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 67.7%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 90.2%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 66.4%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
McDonald
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McDonald
Pahlsson
Last 6: McDonald 2-4 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
2
1
McDonald
Pahlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
1
McDonald
Pahlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
2
McDonald
Pahlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (246)
51.8% (934)
+7.1%
Power Play
62.7% (75)
57.9% (19)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
52.4% (332)
-4.6%
On even strength, McDonald has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. McDonald is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (242).
McDonald shoots left. Pahlsson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Home / Away
McDonald
Pahlsson
Home
63.5% (148)
56.5% (628)
Away
56.2% (201)
47.8% (670)
By Period
McDonald
Pahlsson
P1
64.2%
55.9%
P2
53.8%
49.4%
P3
59.8%
50.8%
OT
66.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
59.3%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 10:12 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 11:09 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |