Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Belzile wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cirelli shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belzile 47.9% vs Cirelli 51.2% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 59.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 59.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 54.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Belzile
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Belzile
Cirelli
Last 5: Belzile 3-2 Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Belzile
Cirelli
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belzile
1
0
Belzile
Cirelli
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Belzile
Cirelli
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belzile
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (191)
52.1% (585)
-3.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.8% (74)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
46.5% (172)
-19.2%
On power play, Cirelli has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Belzile is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Belzile shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
Belzile
Cirelli
Home
53.3% (107)
52.4% (462)
Away
39.8% (98)
50.1% (369)
By Period
Belzile
Cirelli
P1
42.9%
50.7%
P2
46.6%
49.6%
P3
51.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belzile
54.0%▲
48.0%
46.8%
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |