Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cirelli shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Cirelli 49.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 64.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 63.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 62.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Copp
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Copp
Cirelli
Last 5: Copp 1-4 Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Cirelli
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
0
3
Copp
Cirelli
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
50.9% (709)
+3.2%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
43.4% (76)
+34.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
44.0% (150)
-1.8%
On power play, Copp has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Copp
Cirelli
Home
51.9% (511)
50.6% (494)
Away
55.3% (490)
47.6% (441)
By Period
Copp
Cirelli
P1
54.1%
52.3%
P2
54.2%
45.4%
P3
52.5%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:54 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |