Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.1%). Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Cirelli 50.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 55.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 52.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 51.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Copp
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Copp
Cirelli
Last 6: Copp 0-6 Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
0
2
Copp
Cirelli
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
0
3
Copp
Cirelli
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
0
1
Copp
Cirelli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
49.9% (1,052)
+1.3%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
54.9% (82)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
48.7% (158)
-1.1%
On power play, Cirelli has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Home / Away
Copp
Cirelli
Home
52.0% (348)
46.7% (649)
Away
49.1% (279)
53.5% (643)
By Period
Copp
Cirelli
P1
48.4%
50.1%
P2
50.2%
51.1%
P3
53.4%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
50.7%
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |