Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.0% vs Kopitar 55.6% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 92.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 80.6%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 78.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 87.3%
12.7%
87.3%
Cirelli
Kopitar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cirelli
Kopitar
Last 5: Cirelli 4-1 Kopitar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Kopitar
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kopitar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kopitar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kopitar
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (600)
54.8% (691)
-4.5%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
64.9% (205)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
50.3% (149)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopitar shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Cirelli shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kopitar
Home
54.2% (395)
56.8% (533)
Away
44.8% (496)
55.5% (512)
By Period
Cirelli
Kopitar
P1
50.3%
55.7%
P2
50.0%
57.0%
P3
46.9%
56.0%
OT
33.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
48.0%▼
53.0%
48.9%
Kopitar
66.0%▲
52.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:19 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |