Anthony Cirelli vs Barrett Hayton
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Hayton 52.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 64.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 53.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 60.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Cirelli
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cirelli
Hayton
Last 8: Cirelli 5-3 Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
2
Cirelli
Hayton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Hayton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
52.5% (646)
-2.1%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
56.8% (111)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
36.8% (19)
-0.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hayton
Home
54.2% (395)
56.9% (432)
Away
45.0% (509)
47.4% (344)
By Period
Cirelli
Hayton
P1
50.8%
53.1%
P2
50.0%
50.3%
P3
46.6%
55.4%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |