Anthony Cirelli vs Chandler Stephenson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Stephenson 52.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 62.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 60.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 63.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Cirelli
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Cirelli
Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
3
Cirelli
Stephenson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Stephenson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
52.1% (801)
-1.7%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
62.0% (242)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
39.9% (183)
-3.4%
On power play, Cirelli has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Stephenson
Home
54.2% (395)
53.1% (672)
Away
45.0% (509)
51.1% (554)
By Period
Cirelli
Stephenson
P1
50.8%
54.6%
P2
50.0%
51.3%
P3
46.6%
51.2%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |