Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Giroux 60.9% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 87.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 86.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 65.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 76.0%
24.0%
76.0%
Cirelli
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cirelli
Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Giroux
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
60.3% (395)
-9.9%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
67.3% (107)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
65.4% (153)
-28.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Giroux
Home
54.2% (395)
65.9% (337)
Away
45.0% (509)
59.1% (318)
By Period
Cirelli
Giroux
P1
50.8%
62.1%
P2
50.0%
64.5%
P3
46.6%
60.9%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |