Anthony Cirelli vs Derek MacKenzie
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.5% vs MacKenzie 51.8% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 64.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 54.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 55.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Cirelli
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cirelli
MacKenzie
Last 7: Cirelli 3-4 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
2
Cirelli
MacKenzie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
MacKenzie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
2
Cirelli
MacKenzie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (192)
55.7% (438)
-12.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
80.0% (5)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (21)
41.4% (162)
+15.7%
On power play, Cirelli has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Cirelli is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Cirelli shoots left. MacKenzie is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Cirelli
MacKenzie
Home
48.9% (133)
51.3% (312)
Away
38.3% (81)
52.9% (293)
By Period
Cirelli
MacKenzie
P1
56.9%
50.5%
P2
38.2%
48.8%
P3
42.5%
57.4%
Final 5 min
56.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |