Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cirelli wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 52.5% vs McKegg 50.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 66.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 64.2%
Neutral zone
McKegg 53.2%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Cirelli
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cirelli
McKegg
Last 5: Cirelli 2-3 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
McKegg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
2
Cirelli
McKegg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (748)
51.6% (281)
+1.2%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
25.0% (4)
+34.4%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (171)
0.0% (1)
+51.5%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +51.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Cirelli is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Cirelli shoots left. McKegg is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Cirelli
McKegg
Home
54.5% (466)
51.1% (133)
Away
51.1% (485)
51.0% (153)
By Period
Cirelli
McKegg
P1
48.6%
48.9%
P2
54.8%
48.9%
P3
55.8%
54.9%
Final 5 min
55.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.8%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 16:45 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |