Anthony Cirelli vs Jonathan Toews
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.0% vs Toews 60.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 92.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 69.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 88.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 84.5%
15.5%
84.5%
Cirelli
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Cirelli
Toews
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (600)
62.4% (692)
-12.1%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
59.3% (135)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
46.9% (32)
-10.4%
On even strength, Toews has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Cirelli shoots left. Toews is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Toews
Home
54.2% (395)
60.9% (435)
Away
44.8% (496)
61.8% (424)
By Period
Cirelli
Toews
P1
50.3%
60.2%
P2
50.0%
65.7%
P3
46.9%
58.2%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
48.0%▼
53.0%
48.9%
Toews
62.0%▬
61.5%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |