Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Weal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Weal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 47.7% vs Weal 49.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 51.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 85.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 62.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Cirelli
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cirelli
Weal
Last 7: Cirelli 2-5 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
0
3
Cirelli
Weal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Weal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (676)
43.8% (130)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
60.7% (61)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (151)
100.0% (2)
-58.3%
On penalty kill, Weal has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Cirelli is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Cirelli shoots left. Weal is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Weal
Home
45.4% (469)
53.6% (97)
Away
49.7% (445)
45.8% (96)
By Period
Cirelli
Weal
P1
46.3%
46.3%
P2
46.3%
50.6%
P3
49.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
47.5%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |