Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cirelli wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 52.5% vs Couture 46.8% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 68.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 50.3%
Neutral zone
Couture 55.7%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Cirelli
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cirelli
Couture
Last 5: Cirelli 2-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Cirelli
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (748)
46.4% (526)
+6.4%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
42.4% (33)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (171)
48.0% (50)
+3.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Cirelli is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Cirelli shoots left. Couture is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Couture
Home
54.5% (466)
46.5% (333)
Away
51.1% (485)
46.0% (276)
By Period
Cirelli
Couture
P1
48.6%
45.7%
P2
54.8%
43.7%
P3
55.8%
48.7%
OT
41.2%
83.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.8%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 09:08 | Offensive | Logan Couture |